BIS Bulletin
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No 33
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02 December 2020
by
Daniel Rees
PDF full text (625kb)
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9 pages
Key takeaways
The effects of the Covid crisis have been felt unevenly across sectors, and the output of customer service industries could remain well below its pre-Covid trend for some time.
Economies with large customer service industries could grow more slowly in the near term, even after accounting for the stringency of containment measures and the severity of virus outbreaks.
Model projections suggest that large advanced economies could face a "98% economy" until constraints on customer service industries