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Are banks opaque? Evidence from insider trading

Summary:
By Fabrizio Spargoli and Christian Upper Summary Focus We contribute to a long literature on whether banks are more opaque than other firms. By opaque we mean that outsiders, such as investors or depositors, are less able to assess the soundness of a bank than that of another type of firm. An answer to this question has important implications for regulation. For instance, bank opacity could undermine market discipline. Contribution We test whether banks are more opaque than other firms by looking at how equity prices respond to trades by bank or firm insiders. These are purchases or sales by senior company officials, who presumably have better information on the future performance of their institutions than

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Summary

Focus

We contribute to a long literature on whether banks are more opaque than other firms. By opaque we mean that outsiders, such as investors or depositors, are less able to assess the soundness of a bank than that of another type of firm. An answer to this question has important implications for regulation. For instance, bank opacity could undermine market discipline.

Contribution

We test whether banks are more opaque than other firms by looking at how equity prices respond to trades by bank or firm insiders. These are purchases or sales by senior company officials, who presumably have better information on the future performance of their institutions than outside investors. If companies are opaque, then insider purchases should be followed by increases in equity prices and insider sales by drops, at least on average. We believe that price responses to insider trades provide a better measure of opacity than the variables used in previous studies, such as bid-ask spreads, which are also affected by a range of other factors.

Findings

Our results do not support the conventional wisdom that banks are more opaque than other firms. Yes, purchases by bank insiders are followed by positive stock returns, indicating that banks are opaque. But banks are not special as we find the same effect for other firms. Where banks are special is when bad news arrive. We find that sales by bank insiders are not followed by negative stock returns. This suggests that bank insiders do not receive bad news earlier than outsiders. By contrast, insider sales at non-banks tend to be followed by a decline in stock prices.

 

Abstract

We use trades by US corporate insiders to investigate bank opacity, both in absolute terms and relative to other firms. On average, bank insider sales do not earn an abnormal return and do not predict stock returns. By contrast, bank insider purchases do, even though less than other firms. Our within-banking sector and over-time analyses also fail to provide evidence of greater opacity of banks vis-à-vis other firms. These results challenge conventional wisdom and suggest that, to assess bank opacity, the type of benchmark (transparency vs. other firms) and transaction/information (purchase/positive vs. sale/negative) are crucial.

JEL classification: G14, G20, G21

Keywords: bank opacity, insider trading, financial stability

International Settlement
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is an international company limited by shares owned by central banks which "fosters international monetary and financial cooperation and serves as a bank for central banks". The BIS carries out its work through subcommittees, the secretariats it hosts and through an annual general meeting of all member banks. It also provides banking services, but only to central banks and other international organizations. It is based in Basel, Switzerland, with representative offices in Hong Kong and Mexico City.

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