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Home / Tag Archives: 4) FX Trends

Tag Archives: 4) FX Trends

SNB sets up refinancing facility and deactivates counter-cyclical buffer

New packages from the SNB There is no upper limit for virus fund Drawdowns can be made at any time Says interest rates to correspond to the SNB policy rate (-0.50%) Will be available from tomorrow Full statement: The coronavirus pandemic is having a serious impact on the Swiss economy. To combat this crisis, it is essential that companies have access to credit and the banking system has access to liquidity. The Confederation, the SNB and the Swiss Financial Market...

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SNB’s Jordan: Franc exchange rate is important in relation to Swiss monetary conditions

Comments by SNB chief, Thomas Jordan, to CNBC Thomas Jordan Negative rates are a necessity Negative rates have side effects, SNB trying to minimise those side effects Balance of risks is tilted to the downside SNB conducts independent monetary policy, does not follow the ECB But needs to take international environment into account SNB could still cut rates if needed Franc is still highly valued Must maintain negative rates, interventions SNB can intervene as...

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SNB’s Jordan: Swiss franc remains highly valued

Foreign exchange market remains fragile Negative rates, readiness for intervention still necessary Danger of a worsening international situation remains large Imbalances in Swiss real estate market still persist Some remarks by the Jordan, cited by the Swiss government. Nothing out of the ordinary here as they maintain their same messaging about the franc and the need to intervene in the FX market as and when is necessary. Though the timing is a little interesting...

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USD/CHF technical analysis: 1-week-old resistance-line, 23.6 percent Fibo. limits nearby upside

USD/CHF pulls back from a multi-day high, stays above 200-bar SMA. Trend-positive RSI increases the odds of upside. Despite bouncing off 200-bar simple moving average (SMA), USD/CHF fails to cross near-term key resistances as it trades around 0.9915 while heading into the European session open on Thursday. With this, the quote can witness pullback to 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August-September upside, at 0.9880, ahead of highlighting the key 200-bar SMA level of...

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CHF: Possible reversal? – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche bank analysts suggest that at current spot levels, risk-reward favours longs in EUR/CHF. Key Quotes “While Brexit and trade war outcomes look like coin tosses, the impact is likely to be asymmetric as the SNB caps the left tail. While a relief rally would be fully accommodated, they would likely intervene heavily and cut the policy rate in the event of no deal.” “Last week’s change to the tiering system prepared the ground for emergency rate cuts by...

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USD/CHF technical analysis: Bull in control above 21-day EMA, short-term rising support-line

USD/CHF remains modestly changed above 13-day-old rising trend-line, 21-day EMA. An ascending trend-line from August 13 adds to the support. August month top, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level challenge buyers. The USD/CHF pair’s failure to provide a decisive break above August high seems to not disappoint buyers, even for short-term, unless the quote trades below key support-confluence. Prices seesaw around 0.9910 while heading into the European open on Monday. The...

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EUR/CHF risk reversals hit highest since May on call demand

EUR/CHF risk reversals have jumped to the levels last seen in May.  Risk reversals indicate the demand for call options is rising. Risk reversals on EUR/CHF (EURCHF1MRR), a gauge of calls to put, jumped to the highest level since May on Friday, indicating the investors are adding bets to position for a rally in the common currency. The one-month risk reversals rose to -0.75, the highest level since May 10. The negative print indicates the implied volatility premium...

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AUD/CHF technical analysis: Bears looking for a run to a 50 percent mean reversion

AUD/CHF is in the midst of a sell-off which could extend beyond a 38.2% retracement for a 50% reversion.  A subsequent pull-back, however, to the resistance and another sell-off will likely make for a high probability set up. AUD/CHF is in the midst of a sell-off which could extend beyond a 38.2% retracement of the August lows to September highs,  located at 0.6715, and target the 50% retracement at 0.6674 (meeting the 2019 lows) should the markets continue to...

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USD/CHF technical analysis: 4H 100MA, 2-week-old support-zone limit immediate declines

USD/CHF extends Thursday’s downpour, nears short-term key supports. An upside break of 0.9985 could recall June month highs. Given the failure to rise past-0.9980/85 area, USD/CHF carries the previous day’s declines while trading around 0.9913 ahead of the Europe markets open on Friday. The bearish signal from 12-bar moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) indicates brighter chances of pair’s further declines to 100-bar moving average on the four-hour chart,...

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USD/CHF technical analysis: 0.9950 to question buyers inside a rising wedge

USD/CHF takes the bids inside a six-week-old rising wedge bearish formation. 200-DMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement could restrict immediate upside. 0.9880 becomes the key support. Despite the recent rise, USD/CHF trades below the confluence of 200-day simple moving average (DMA) and 50% Fibonacci retracement of April-August declines, close to 0.9940, while heading into the European session on Wednesday. Even if the pair manages to overcome 0.9950 immediate resistance...

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