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Tag Archives: Emerging Markets

China Deepens Global Finance Links as It Joins Benchmark Indexes

By Sally Chen, Dimitris Drakopoulos, and Rohit Goel 中文, 日本語 China is embarking on the next stage of its integration into global financial markets. It is a stage that is likely to see a fresh flood of overseas investment, improved liquidity, better governance, and a broader range of instruments. The catalyst: inclusion of Chinese stocks and bonds in a larger number of global financial-market indexes. As Chinese securities are added, investment managers who seek to match or surpass the...

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How to Help, Not Hinder Global Growth

By Christine Lagarde As the G-20 finance ministers and central bank governors gather this week in Fukuoka, they can take inspiration from their host city. Known as Japan’s “startup city,” Fukuoka has flourished in recent decades by embracing trade, innovation, and openness. That spirit is needed more than ever to help reduce trade tensions and clear other stumbling blocks on the way back to higher and more sustainable growth. The goal must be to help, not stand in the way of global growth....

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Designing Labor Policies to Foster Inclusive Growth in Emerging Markets

By Romain Duval and Prakash Loungani Emerging market economies have enjoyed good growth in recent decades but are still far from closing gaps in living standards with advanced economies. Emerging markets also need growth to be shared by everyone, particularly by providing their growing populations with good jobs and social protection. In a new IMF staff paper, we look at how the design of labor markets—institutions and policies—could foster inclusive growth in these countries.    ...

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Weak Spots in Global Financial System Could Amplify Shocks

By Tobias Adrian and Fabio Natalucci عربي, 中文, Español, Français, 日本語, Português, Русский In the United States, the ratio of corporate debt to GDP is at record-high levels. In several European countries, banks are overloaded with government bonds. In China, bank profitability is declining, and capital levels remain low at small and medium-size lenders. Vulnerabilities like these are on the rise across advanced and emerging market economies, according to the IMF’s latest Global Financial...

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The Global Economy: A Delicate Moment

By Gita Gopinath عربي, 中文, Español, Français, 日本語, Português, Русский A year ago, economic activity was accelerating in almost all regions of the world. One year later, much has changed. The escalation of US–China trade tensions, needed credit tightening in China, macroeconomic stress in Argentina and Turkey, disruptions to the auto sector in Germany, and financial tightening alongside the normalization of monetary policy in the larger advanced economies have all contributed to a...

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Assessing the Risk of the Next Housing Bust

By Claudio Raddatz and Nico Valckx عربي, 中文, Español, Français, Русский There’s good news for people living in Las Vegas, Miami and Phoenix: the risk of a housing bust like the one they endured during the global financial crisis is fairly small. For folks in Toronto and Vancouver, however, the picture hasn’t improved since 2008, and the risk of a large decline in house prices remains elevated. Those are among the insights generated by the IMF’s new tool for assessing the danger of a severe...

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Latin America and the Caribbean in 2019: A Moderate Expansion

By Alejandro Werner Español, Português Economic activity in Latin America continues to rise, but at a slower rate than previously anticipated. The weakening global economy and rising policy uncertainty are contributing to slowing Latin America’s growth momentum. Overall, the region is expected to advance by 2 percent in 2019 and 2.5 percent in 2020—still well below peer countries in other regions. A tightening of global financial conditions and lower commodity prices brought on by...

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How Much Should You Save for Retirement?

By David Amaglobeli, Era Dabla-Norris, and Vitor Gaspar عربي,  Français, 日本語 How much you need to save for retirement depends on your country’s pension system. Our new research focuses on the interaction between saving and pension systems in an aging world. We use data from 80 countries to map public (government) and private savings in countries over the next 30 years, given their aging populations and the design of pension systems. We find that trends in private saving drive the...

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Quiz on the Global Economy: How Much Do You Know?

December 7, 2018 By IMFBlog (photo: Nirodesign/GettyImages by iStock) Inflation, emerging markets, and debt—oh my! The global economy is making headlines and we thought you might like to put your knowledge to the test with our new quiz. Here are eight questions drawn from our latest World Economic Outlook, Global Financial Stability Report, and Fiscal Monitor.  

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Chart of the Week: Bye Bye Baby—How Crises Affect Fertility Rates

By IMFBlog November 13, 2018 Increasing access to affordable and high-quality childcare can make it easier for families to have more children (photo: Franziska Kraufmann/dpa/Newscom) The global financial crisis a decade ago and the resulting recession left long-lasting scars on future growth in more ways than one. Our October World Economic Outlook points to signs that the crisis may have had lasting effects on potential economic growth through its impact on fertility rates and...

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